Barcelona vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
BET
3 - 0
FCB
40%
24%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATM
67%
18%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 1
FCB
43%
23%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 0
CEL
71%
16%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
52%
21%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATH
28%
21%
51%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 1
BET
47%
21%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
ATM
5 - 1
ZAR
72%
15%
13%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 0
VCF
45%
20%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
CEL
5 - 1
ZAR
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |