Barcelona vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
ACM
1 - 1
FCB
13%
19%
69%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
OSA
0 - 0
FCB
6%
14%
80%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FCB
4 - 1
VAD
92%
6%
2%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 1
FCB
6%
13%
81%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 2
FCB
6%
14%
80%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
RMA
2 - 1
JUV
86%
10%
4%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RMA
2 - 0
MAL
89%
8%
3%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LEV
2 - 3
RMA
7%
15%
78%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
RMA
4 - 0
FCK
93%
5%
2%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
RMA
0 - 1
ATM
83%
11%
6%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | -1 |