Copa del Rey Last 16

Global 6-1

Barcelona vs Celta analysis

Barcelona Celta
95 ELO 87
44% Tilt 17.7%
General ELO ranking 59º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
89.2%
Barcelona
7.7%
Draw
3.1%
Celta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.1%
Win probability
Barcelona
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
3.1%
Win probability
Celta
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO progression

Barcelona
Celta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2018
FCB
Barcelona
3 - 0
Levante
LEV
95%
4%
1%
95 83 12 0
04 Jan. 2018
CEL
Celta
1 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
14%
20%
66%
95 87 8 0
23 Dec. 2017
RMA
Real Madrid
0 - 3
Barcelona
FCB
44%
22%
33%
95 93 2 0
17 Dec. 2017
FCB
Barcelona
4 - 0
RC Deportivo
DEP
95%
4%
1%
95 83 12 0
10 Dec. 2017
VIL
Villarreal
0 - 2
Barcelona
FCB
12%
18%
70%
95 88 7 0

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2018
CEL
Celta
2 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
15%
19%
66%
87 93 6 0
04 Jan. 2018
CEL
Celta
1 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
14%
20%
66%
87 95 8 0
23 Dec. 2017
DEP
RC Deportivo
1 - 3
Celta
CEL
32%
25%
44%
87 83 4 0
17 Dec. 2017
CEL
Celta
0 - 1
Villarreal
VIL
53%
24%
23%
87 87 0 0
09 Dec. 2017
VCF
Valencia
2 - 1
Celta
CEL
61%
21%
19%
88 89 1 -1