Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1996 |
SPO
0 - 0
FCB
19%
22%
59%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1996 |
CRV
1 - 1
FCB
19%
24%
57%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
FCB
3 - 2
VCF
66%
19%
15%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
SEV
0 - 1
FCB
18%
22%
60%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
FCB
8 - 0
LOG
82%
13%
6%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
ATM
3 - 0
OVI
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
BVB
1 - 2
ATM
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
SPO
0 - 1
ATM
34%
26%
41%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
ATM
1 - 3
RAY
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
VCF
3 - 1
ATM
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |