Barcelona vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
FCB
1 - 2
VCF
77%
14%
9%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
EIB
2 - 2
FCB
12%
19%
69%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
FCB
2 - 0
GET
87%
10%
4%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
LIV
4 - 0
FCB
33%
25%
43%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 0
FCB
10%
17%
73%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
ANG
1 - 1
ARS
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 2
LYO
55%
22%
23%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
RMA
2 - 2
ARS
67%
18%
15%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
ARS
3 - 0
FIO
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 1
BYM
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |