Primera A 2 Phase Fase 2 round 15

Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa analysis

Barcelona SC Mushuc Runa
81 ELO 81
4.2% Tilt -1.3%
659º General ELO ranking 681º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
45.1%
Barcelona SC
25.2%
Draw
29.7%
Mushuc Runa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
Barcelona SC
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.7%
Win probability
Mushuc Runa
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barcelona SC
+2%
+5%
Mushuc Runa

Points and table prediction

Barcelona SC
Their league position
Mushuc Runa
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
23
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Liga de Quito
32
35
100%
Independiente del Valle
30
30
100%
Universidad Católica
26
26
100%
Barcelona SC
25
25
0%
Orense
25
25
0%
Mushuc Runa
23
23
0%
Libertad FC
23
23
0%
Técnico Universitario
22
22
0%
Delfín
22
22
0%
CD El Nacional
10º
19
19
10º
100%
Deportivo Cuenca
13º
13
16
11º
0%
Aucas
11º
16
16
12º
0%
Macará
12º
15
15
13º
100%
CS Emelec
16º
9
12
14º
100%
Imbabura
14º
11
11
15º
100%
Cumbayá
15º
10
10
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2024
TEC
Técnico Universitario
2 - 2
Barcelona SC
BSC
46%
26%
29%
81 81 0 0
16 Nov. 2024
BSC
Barcelona SC
6 - 0
CD El Nacional
NAC
50%
24%
26%
81 80 1 0
10 Nov. 2024
BSC
Barcelona SC
8 - 1
Cumbayá
CFC
61%
23%
16%
81 73 8 0
02 Nov. 2024
AUC
Aucas
1 - 1
Barcelona SC
BSC
49%
25%
26%
81 81 0 0
27 Oct. 2024
BSC
Barcelona SC
4 - 0
Delfín
DEL
43%
26%
31%
81 81 0 0

Matches

Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 2024
MUS
Mushuc Runa
2 - 2
CD El Nacional
NAC
47%
25%
28%
81 80 1 0
08 Nov. 2024
DEL
Delfín
4 - 2
Mushuc Runa
MUS
42%
27%
32%
81 81 0 0
03 Nov. 2024
MUS
Mushuc Runa
2 - 1
Macará
MAC
48%
26%
26%
80 79 1 +1
31 Oct. 2024
NAC
CD El Nacional
2 - 0
Mushuc Runa
MUS
49%
24%
27%
81 80 1 -1
26 Oct. 2024
LIG
Liga de Quito
1 - 1
Mushuc Runa
MUS
46%
26%
29%
81 81 0 0