Copa Sudamericana Last 16

Global 2-2

Barcelona SC vs Alianza Lima analysis

Barcelona SC Alianza Lima
78 ELO 71
-29.2% Tilt -28.1%
658º General ELO ranking 716º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
49.5%
Barcelona SC
27.8%
Draw
22.8%
Alianza Lima

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
Barcelona SC
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
22.7%
Win probability
Alianza Lima
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barcelona SC
-5%
+17%
Alianza Lima

ELO progression

Barcelona SC
Alianza Lima
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2002
BSC
Barcelona SC
0 - 0
CD El Nacional
NAC
41%
30%
29%
78 78 0 0
12 Sep. 2002
BSC
Barcelona SC
1 - 0
Aucas
AUC
54%
24%
22%
77 74 3 +1
08 Sep. 2002
LDU
Liga de Quito
0 - 3
Barcelona SC
BSC
45%
29%
26%
76 75 1 +1
04 Sep. 2002
BSC
Barcelona SC
0 - 0
Aucas
AUC
45%
28%
27%
76 74 2 0
01 Sep. 2002
EME
CS Emelec
0 - 1
Barcelona SC
BSC
41%
30%
29%
76 72 4 0

Matches

Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2002
UNI
Universitario Deportes
0 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
45%
27%
29%
71 70 1 0
08 Sep. 2002
ALI
Alianza Lima
1 - 0
Estudiantes de Medicina
CDE
36%
27%
37%
71 76 5 0
04 Sep. 2002
ALI
Alianza Lima
1 - 0
Universitario Deportes
UNI
46%
26%
29%
70 72 2 +1
01 Sep. 2002
BOL
Bolognesi FC
0 - 0
Alianza Lima
ALI
60%
22%
18%
70 73 3 0
25 Aug. 2002
ALI
Alianza Lima
0 - 0
Sporting Cristal
SPC
42%
27%
31%
70 74 4 0