4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Barcelona City A vs Barceloneta CF B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona City A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
BCF
6 - 1
GOT
74%
14%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ESC
3 - 3
BCF
58%
19%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
BCF
2 - 1
DAR
72%
15%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ESC
0 - 3
BCF
31%
21%
49%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
BCF
8 - 0
POB
84%
11%
6%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Barceloneta CF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
BAR
0 - 0
ESC
29%
21%
51%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
DAR
1 - 1
BAR
22%
19%
59%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 1
ESC
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
POB
2 - 4
BAR
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
BAR
5 - 2
EKE
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | +1 |