Barbalha vs Maracanã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 5
FOR
9%
21%
70%
|
38 | 88 | 50 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
CAU
2 - 1
BAR
56%
22%
23%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CAU
2 - 0
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAC
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 4
BAR
40%
25%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 3
MAR
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
CEA
5%
16%
79%
|
39 | 85 | 46 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
FER
11%
21%
68%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |