Barbadás vs Racing Castrelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 0
MOR
65%
20%
15%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
ATL
31%
28%
41%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
BAR
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
ARN
41%
26%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAM
36%
23%
41%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PON
7 - 0
CAS
75%
15%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
POR
21%
21%
57%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VER
5 - 0
CAS
49%
23%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |