Baraunas vs Potyguar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
CRI
2 - 0
BAR
80%
13%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
PEC
0 - 2
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 4
POT
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 2
CRI
17%
21%
62%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2008 |
ABC
1 - 0
BAR
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Potyguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ACD
3 - 2
ASS
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ARN
2 - 0
ACD
72%
18%
11%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
ACD
2 - 1
ALE
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +4 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
PEC
0 - 1
ACD
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
ACD
2 - 1
SGO
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +3 |