Baranovichi vs Niva Dolbizno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
8º
6º
41
10º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 5 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baranovichi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ZHY
2 - 2
BAR
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 4
VIT
15%
22%
63%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 0
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 1
FBG
46%
22%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ORS
1 - 0
BAR
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Niva Dolbizno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 1
GOM
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
4 - 1
FCN
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 2
LID
60%
20%
19%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
DNP
2 - 1
FCN
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 2
TOR
17%
19%
65%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |