Barakaldo vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
BAR
4 - 2
ARE
52%
22%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ALA
0 - 0
BAR
64%
18%
17%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
BAR
1 - 3
RUN
60%
19%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
SSC
1 - 1
BAR
48%
22%
30%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
BAR
3 - 2
OSA
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
ZAR
4 - 1
ESP
38%
22%
40%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAR
71%
15%
14%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 1
SEV
34%
22%
45%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
RMA
5 - 1
ZAR
90%
7%
3%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ZAR
0 - 0
HER
47%
21%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |