Copa del Rey . 1/128
Global 3-1
Barakaldo vs Arenas de Getxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
BAR
3 - 1
CUL
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
MIR
0 - 0
BAR
40%
31%
30%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
BAR
0 - 0
SDE
82%
14%
4%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
ARE
1 - 1
BAR
28%
28%
45%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
GDE
1 - 1
BAR
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
ARE
1 - 1
RUN
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
LEM
0 - 0
ARE
34%
29%
38%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
ARE
3 - 3
LON
66%
21%
12%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
ARE
1 - 1
BAR
28%
28%
45%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
BKE
0 - 1
ARE
40%
28%
32%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |