Bangor vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ARC
3 - 4
BAN
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 0
INS
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 1
BAL
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DON
1 - 3
BAN
20%
22%
58%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
AUN
1 - 3
BAN
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LCE
2 - 3
LAR
37%
25%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ARC
6 - 0
LCE
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LCE
1 - 1
HAR
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
LCE
39%
25%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LCE
2 - 0
LIS
72%
16%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |