Bangor City vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
76.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BAN
2 - 3
LLA
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 1
BAN
4%
12%
84%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
BAN
1 - 1
FLI
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
BAN
19%
20%
61%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
BAN
25%
23%
52%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 6
TNS
7%
16%
77%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
TNS
15%
20%
65%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 1
NEW
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
STE
1 - 1
TNS
6%
12%
83%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 1
PEN
89%
9%
3%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | +1 |