Bangor City vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 3
LLA
52%
23%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 2
BAN
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ABE
4 - 0
BAN
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 1
BAL
35%
25%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
HOL
2 - 1
BAN
12%
19%
69%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
TNS
4 - 1
NEW
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 2
TNS
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NEW
4 - 1
CAR
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FLI
0 - 2
NEW
10%
18%
73%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |