Bangladesh Police vs Abahani Chittagong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
9º
4º
18
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 32 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 32 |
3º
|
44% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 28 |
4º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 22 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 21 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 20 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 14 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ACH
2 - 3
BPF
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
BPF
6 - 1
MUK
72%
17%
12%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
RAH
0 - 2
BPF
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
BPF
4 - 2
FOR
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
UTT
0 - 7
BPF
7%
15%
79%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Abahani Chittagong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ACH
2 - 3
BPF
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MUK
1 - 2
ACH
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ACH
2 - 2
RAH
55%
23%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
ACH
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 0
UTT
88%
9%
3%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | +1 |