Thailand League Round 15

BG Pathum United vs Nakhon Pathom analysis

BG Pathum United Nakhon Pathom
58 ELO 53
19.5% Tilt -1%
3207º General ELO ranking 5424º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
70.6%
BG Pathum United
17.9%
Draw
11.5%
Nakhon Pathom

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
BG Pathum United
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.5%
Win probability
Nakhon Pathom
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

BG Pathum United
Nakhon Pathom
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BG Pathum United
BG Pathum United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 2023
CHO
Chonburi
2 - 2
BG Pathum United
BAN
32%
24%
44%
59 54 5 0
16 Dec. 2023
KHU
Khon Kaen United
1 - 1
BG Pathum United
BAN
30%
26%
44%
59 52 7 0
12 Dec. 2023
JOH
Johor FC
4 - 1
BG Pathum United
BAN
59%
20%
21%
60 62 2 -1
09 Dec. 2023
BAN
BG Pathum United
2 - 1
Ratchaburi
RAT
54%
24%
22%
60 60 0 0
06 Dec. 2023
SSK
Samut Sakhon FC
1 - 4
BG Pathum United
BAN
12%
18%
70%
60 40 20 0

Matches

Nakhon Pathom
Nakhon Pathom
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 2023
UDT
Udon Thani
0 - 2
Nakhon Pathom
NAK
19%
23%
59%
52 36 16 0
16 Dec. 2023
NAK
Nakhon Pathom
1 - 2
Chiangrai United
CHI
37%
26%
37%
53 58 5 -1
09 Dec. 2023
BUR
Buriram United
4 - 1
Nakhon Pathom
NAK
67%
20%
13%
54 60 6 -1
06 Dec. 2023
PTS
Satun
2 - 0
Nakhon Pathom
NAK
14%
19%
67%
56 29 27 -2
02 Dec. 2023
NAK
Nakhon Pathom
1 - 0
Chonburi
CHO
42%
24%
33%
55 56 1 +1