Baltimore vs Saint-Louis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
25.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
TEM
1 - 1
BAL
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
TDL
0 - 1
BAL
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
GON
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
VAL
44%
30%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
AIG
0 - 0
BAL
39%
30%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Louis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
FIC
1 - 1
ASS
52%
26%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 0
CAV
48%
30%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
ASM
2 - 1
ASS
39%
31%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
GON
0 - 0
ASS
35%
32%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 1
VIC
47%
29%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |