Baltimore vs Mirebalais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
16.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
23.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 2
BAL
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 0
VIC
39%
32%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CAV
1 - 0
BAL
36%
32%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 2
BAL
42%
31%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 1
TEM
40%
32%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mirebalais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 0
FIC
31%
32%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GON
0 - 1
ASM
37%
32%
31%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 0
CAV
34%
33%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 0
RAC
37%
31%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TEM
2 - 1
ASM
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |