Balma vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FUR
3 - 1
BAL
35%
27%
37%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 0
LUP
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 2
ROD
43%
27%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SCT
1 - 4
BAL
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 1
GRA
43%
26%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
TOU
0 - 1
AJA
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SCR
0 - 3
TOU
68%
17%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FUR
3 - 1
TOU
42%
26%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TOU
2 - 1
ROD
32%
27%
41%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SCT
0 - 2
TOU
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |