Balma vs Le Mans II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
BAL
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 1
LES
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LES
1 - 1
BAL
48%
26%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 1
AUR
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
FON
2 - 1
BAL
58%
24%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Le Mans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
LEM
2 - 0
TOF
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
PSG
0 - 2
LEM
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LEM
3 - 5
LUZ
34%
29%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
LEM
30%
27%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
LEM
0 - 2
COL
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |