Balma vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
OLY
1 - 0
BAL
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BAL
1 - 2
ASB
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CRF
0 - 2
BAL
51%
26%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
BAL
3 - 2
FAB
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BEA
1 - 1
BAL
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BLA
2 - 3
BEA
42%
23%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
AUC
2 - 2
BLA
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BLA
1 - 0
FAB
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
TOU
1 - 3
BLA
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
BLA
3 - 0
ROD
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |