Ballymena United vs Warrenpoint Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 0
BAL
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 3
LIS
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 2
COL
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GLE
4 - 1
BAL
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 2
POR
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
WAR
4 - 2
SYL
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
DER
1 - 3
WAR
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WAR
2 - 0
LIM
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
WAR
3 - 0
COA
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 3
WAR
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |