Ballymena United vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 2
BAL
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 2
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
BAL
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 1
DCC
89%
8%
2%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
CLI
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 2
LIS
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 2
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 2
POR
18%
22%
59%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 3
LIS
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LIS
1 - 3
CLI
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |