Ballymena United vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
12º
9º
76
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 2
NEY
52%
22%
25%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LRA
4 - 1
BAL
10%
16%
75%
|
58 | 10 | 48 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
COA
1 - 1
BAL
19%
21%
60%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
AUN
1 - 3
BAL
57%
22%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
BAN
25%
23%
53%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 9
LIN
22%
21%
57%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 4
LIN
23%
22%
55%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
LIN
26%
22%
52%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
LIN
3 - 2
STJ
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 4
LIN
4%
10%
86%
|
70 | 12 | 58 | 0 |