Ballymena United vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
10º
9º
68
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
CRU
0 - 1
BAL
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 2
BAL
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
3 - 2
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
BAL
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 0
CLI
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
POR
0 - 3
LIN
8%
19%
73%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
3 - 0
AUN
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
LIN
18%
25%
58%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |