NIFL Premiership Relegation Round Round 4

Ballymena United vs Glenavon analysis

Ballymena United Glenavon
58 ELO 57
10.5% Tilt 10.2%
2180º General ELO ranking 1898º
16º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
56.6%
Ballymena United
22.1%
Draw
21.4%
Glenavon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
Ballymena United
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.4%
Win probability
Glenavon
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ballymena United
+5%
-22%
Glenavon

ELO progression

Ballymena United
Glenavon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ballymena United
Ballymena United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2013
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
0 - 2
Ballymena United
BAL
34%
25%
41%
58 50 8 0
13 Apr. 2013
DON
Donegal Celtic
1 - 4
Ballymena United
BAL
28%
25%
47%
58 47 11 0
02 Apr. 2013
BAL
Ballymena United
6 - 1
Portadown
POR
30%
26%
44%
56 65 9 +2
30 Mar. 2013
CLI
Cliftonville
5 - 0
Ballymena United
BAL
78%
15%
8%
57 72 15 -1
16 Mar. 2013
POR
Portadown
0 - 0
Ballymena United
BAL
67%
19%
14%
56 65 9 +1

Matches

Glenavon
Glenavon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2013
GLE
Glenavon
1 - 3
Portadown
POR
39%
25%
36%
56 63 7 0
13 Apr. 2013
GLE
Glenavon
7 - 0
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
64%
20%
17%
55 51 4 +1
02 Apr. 2013
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
2 - 3
Glenavon
GLE
45%
25%
30%
54 53 1 +1
30 Mar. 2013
GLE
Glenavon
1 - 1
Coleraine
COL
36%
25%
39%
54 63 9 0
16 Mar. 2013
GLE
Glenavon
1 - 3
Cliftonville
CLI
19%
22%
59%
54 72 18 0