Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
GLE
42%
24%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
1 - 0
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 0
BAL
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
4 - 1
DUN
64%
20%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BAL
3 - 2
WAR
71%
18%
12%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 1
BAL
58%
22%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 0
DUN
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 2
DUN
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
4 - 1
DUN
64%
20%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 2
CLI
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |