Ballymena United vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
10º
9º
62
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 3
LAR
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 3
GLE
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAL
25%
26%
50%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
POR
75%
17%
9%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 1
NEY
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 0
DUN
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 2
CRU
17%
19%
64%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 0
CRU
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |