Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 2
DER
73%
16%
10%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CRU
2 - 0
BAL
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
BAL
2 - 2
WAR
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAL
1 - 0
DUN
64%
19%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 2
BAL
30%
26%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
ARD
0 - 3
DOL
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
LAR
3 - 0
ARD
74%
16%
11%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
ARD
57%
21%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 2
ARD
28%
22%
51%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
ARD
0 - 1
CRU
10%
14%
76%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |