Balk vs Oranje Nassau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
64.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
VVG
2 - 3
BAL
29%
22%
49%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 0
BLA
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
DRA
1 - 3
BAL
53%
23%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 3
OLD
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
PEL
2 - 0
BAL
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Oranje Nassau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
ORA
2 - 0
LEE
83%
11%
7%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
PKC
1 - 6
ORA
30%
21%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ORA
1 - 0
NOO
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 0
ORA
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ORA
2 - 4
SVI
51%
20%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |