Balashikha vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
65.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
12º
12º
33
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balashikha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
STR
4 - 1
BAL
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SAK
3 - 1
BAL
76%
15%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FPP
2 - 1
BAL
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 5
FKO
25%
21%
55%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 0
BAL
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 1
KOL
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ZAN
1 - 1
ARS
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 2
ZEN
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
KHI
1 - 0
ARS
49%
22%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
ARS
0 - 1
SKA
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |