Bala Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 2
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
TNS
22%
26%
53%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
LLA
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
4 - 2
BAL
81%
13%
7%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 4
TNS
26%
24%
49%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LID
1 - 1
NEW
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ABE
3 - 2
NEW
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 2
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
LID
1 - 6
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 0
TNS
17%
22%
62%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +1 |