Bala Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 2
AIR
36%
26%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 2
NEA
32%
26%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
HAV
0 - 1
BAL
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
BAL
3 - 4
TNS
14%
24%
62%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
POR
0 - 1
BAL
38%
24%
39%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
TNS
4 - 0
NEW
87%
9%
3%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
NEW
3 - 6
NEA
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
PRE
2 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 2
BRI
58%
21%
20%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |