Bala Town vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
HYD
0 - 2
BAL
14%
18%
68%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
CRE
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
TFI
42%
24%
35%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
TFI
3 - 0
BAL
36%
23%
41%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 2
BAN
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2018 |
MER
1 - 3
CAR
15%
19%
66%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
CWM
0 - 4
CAR
59%
20%
20%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 2
LLA
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |