Bala Azul vs Atl. Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 1
BAL
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 0
MAZ
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CHU
3 - 4
BAL
26%
24%
51%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 0
ALG
57%
22%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CCS
0 - 2
BAL
18%
21%
60%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 0
UDL
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ABA
2 - 2
ASC
33%
23%
45%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 0
OLI
53%
21%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
YEC
0 - 0
ASC
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ASC
0 - 2
AFC
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |