Baía de Pemba vs Desportivo de Nacala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
28.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baía de Pemba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BDP
2 - 3
COS
26%
32%
43%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
BDP
44%
29%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
BDP
1 - 0
FER
37%
32%
31%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
DMA
4 - 0
BDP
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
BDP
1 - 1
FER
30%
30%
41%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo de Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
DES
0 - 3
FER
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
DES
3 - 1
TEX
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
FCC
2 - 0
DES
49%
28%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
DES
1 - 0
VIL
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
DES
1 - 2
HCB
39%
30%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |