Bagnolese vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ROS
0 - 0
BAG
40%
25%
34%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FID
0 - 1
BAG
64%
21%
15%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BAG
0 - 1
FOR
35%
25%
40%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MEZ
2 - 2
BAG
78%
15%
8%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BAG
1 - 2
FOR
43%
24%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
SPA
11%
22%
67%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAS
19%
24%
58%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ASL
1 - 0
FOR
78%
15%
6%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
ROS
49%
26%
25%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |