Iraq League Round 26

Baghdad FC vs Karbala analysis

Baghdad FC Karbala
73 ELO 66
-15.4% Tilt -21.6%
2283º General ELO ranking 1634º
24º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
53.5%
Baghdad FC
27%
Draw
19.5%
Karbala

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
Baghdad FC
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
19.5%
Win probability
Karbala
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Baghdad FC
-1%
-57%
Karbala

ELO progression

Baghdad FC
Karbala
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Baghdad FC
Baghdad FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2017
ALQ
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 - 0
Baghdad FC
BAG
50%
28%
23%
72 72 0 0
08 Apr. 2017
BAG
Baghdad FC
1 - 0
Al Zawraa
ALZ
42%
28%
30%
72 72 0 0
03 Apr. 2017
ALK
Al Kahrabaa
0 - 0
Baghdad FC
BAG
29%
30%
41%
74 63 11 -2
15 Mar. 2017
BAG
Baghdad FC
1 - 0
Zakho
ZAK
54%
27%
19%
72 66 6 +2
10 Mar. 2017
HUD
Al Hudod
0 - 3
Baghdad FC
BAG
38%
32%
30%
72 65 7 0

Matches

Karbala
Karbala
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2017
NAF
Naft Al-Janoob
3 - 1
Karbala
KAR
54%
26%
20%
67 70 3 0
02 Apr. 2017
KAR
Karbala
1 - 1
Al Talaba
ALT
26%
29%
46%
64 74 10 +3
07 Mar. 2017
KAR
Karbala
0 - 0
Al Kahrabaa
ALK
47%
28%
25%
66 63 3 -2
01 Mar. 2017
ZAK
Zakho
0 - 0
Karbala
KAR
47%
28%
25%
66 66 0 0
24 Feb. 2017
KAR
Karbala
1 - 1
Al Hudod
HUD
42%
29%
29%
66 65 1 0