Baeza CF vs CD Vilches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
BAE
10%
16%
73%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BAE
2 - 0
BAI
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
BAE
3 - 1
VIL
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
IBR
0 - 1
BAE
14%
19%
67%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
BAE
3 - 0
CPH
68%
17%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
NAV
2 - 0
VIL
71%
17%
12%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 0
BAI
59%
20%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 1
VIL
44%
24%
32%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 1
IBR
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |