Baeza CF vs CD Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BAE
5 - 0
CDA
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BEG
1 - 1
BAE
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BAE
2 - 0
ATL
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAE
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BAE
1 - 2
CDR
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CDV
0 - 1
BEG
22%
23%
55%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
CDV
67%
17%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CDV
0 - 2
VIL
49%
22%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CDR
1 - 0
CDV
37%
22%
41%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDV
0 - 4
CAR
35%
24%
42%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |