Baeza CF vs Carolinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+189%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JOD
3 - 1
BAE
59%
21%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BAE
1 - 1
CDR
76%
16%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CLU
2 - 1
BAE
66%
19%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BAE
2 - 0
VIL
26%
24%
50%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
UDG
2 - 2
BAE
29%
25%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAI
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 1
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
ATL
32%
24%
44%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
LAG
29%
25%
46%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |