Baena At. vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baena At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
PRI
1 - 1
BAE
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
COR
2 - 0
BAE
34%
27%
40%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
BAE
3 - 2
UTR
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
MON
1 - 2
BAE
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
BAE
3 - 0
CAB
61%
22%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
UDM
0 - 1
COR
31%
28%
41%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
UTR
4 - 2
UDM
62%
23%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
UDM
1 - 0
MON
44%
27%
29%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
CAB
1 - 0
UDM
48%
26%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
UDM
0 - 0
CAS
45%
28%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |