Baden vs Winterthur II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
BAD
2 - 0
FCW
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BAD
0 - 3
STG
10%
18%
73%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCG
2 - 2
BAD
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BAD
4 - 0
FCB
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
BAD
2 - 1
NEX
11%
19%
70%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
WIN
4 - 0
FCG
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCB
1 - 1
WIN
54%
22%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
WIN
2 - 2
FCT
43%
25%
31%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
FCW
2 - 1
WIN
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
WIN
4 - 1
CHU
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |