Baden vs Widnau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
4º
2º
4
8º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 65 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
6 | 56 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 55 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 51 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 49 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 46 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 45 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 39 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 38 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 37 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 34 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 33 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 32 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 31 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 29 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 28 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
37% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
17.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
45.5% | 70% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
BAD
1 - 1
WOH
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
KRI
5 - 3
BAD
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
BAD
1 - 1
BUL
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
VEV
0 - 1
BAD
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
BAD
1 - 0
DEL
36%
25%
40%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
ROT
3 - 2
WID
35%
23%
42%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
WID
0 - 1
WIL
79%
13%
8%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
UST
2 - 3
WID
21%
22%
57%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
WID
9 - 1
DUB
73%
16%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
FCB
0 - 3
WID
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |