Baden vs Wangen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
BAD
0 - 2
UZU
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
BAD
0 - 1
BAV
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
BAV
0 - 0
BAD
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
BAD
2 - 1
DEL
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
DEL
1 - 1
BAD
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wangen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 1
WAN
58%
23%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
WAN
2 - 0
SCH
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ZUG
0 - 0
WAN
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
WAN
4 - 1
FCS
49%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MUN
3 - 1
WAN
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |