Baden vs St. Gallen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
FRE
3 - 2
BAD
47%
22%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 1
BAD
30%
24%
47%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BAD
1 - 0
FCW
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BAD
3 - 0
LUG
87%
10%
4%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FCG
3 - 3
BAD
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
St. Gallen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
STG
6 - 1
FCG
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
STG
1 - 1
FCT
67%
18%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
STG
3 - 1
LIN
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TUG
6 - 3
STG
65%
19%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
ESC
0 - 0
STG
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |