Baden vs Muttenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FCG
2 - 0
BAD
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BAD
1 - 2
SCH
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 1
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 1
WIN
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BAD
3 - 2
DOR
69%
19%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MUT
1 - 2
GRA
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SOL
4 - 1
MUT
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MUT
3 - 0
ZOF
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SEN
4 - 2
MUT
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCZ
3 - 2
MUT
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |